As I mentioned earlier, I recently had the extreme misfortune of stumbling across Geoffrey Berg's The Six Ways of Atheism, a sloppy, solipsistic, and derivative work that would be barely worth mentioning if it weren't so likely to damn some poor and thoughtless idiot's soul to Hell.
This post is the first in a six-part series addressing and refuting all six of Berg's "ways." The first is what he calls the Aggregate of Qualities Argument, and proceeds thus:
1. If God exists, God must necessarily possess all of several remarkable qualities (including supreme goodness, omnipotence, immortality, omniscience, ultimate creator, purpose giver).
2. Every one of these qualities may not exist in any entity and if any such quality does exist it exists in few entities or in some cases (e.g., omnipotence, ultimate creator) in at most one entity.
3. Therefore it is highly unlikely that any entity would possess even one of these qualities.
4. There is an infinitesimal chance that any one entity (given the almost infinite number of entities in the Universe) might possess the combination of even some two of these qualities, let alone all of them.
5. In statistical analysis a merely hypothetical infinitesimal chance can in effect be treated as the no chance to which it approximates so very closely.
6. Therefore as there is statistically such an infinitesimal chance of any entity possessing, as God would have to do, all God's essential qualities in combination it can be said for all practical and statistical purposes that God just does not exist.
What's interesting about this argument is that Berg, in his introduction, claims this arugment is "absolutely and completely original" to himself, despite being startlingly similar to Dawkins' "Ultimate Boeing 747" argument, which precedes it by three years. Well, in fairness, he only claims it's original as far as he knows, which demonstrates nothing except that he's so terribly ill-read in a field he has the temerity to sully with a book that he hasn't even read a relative touchstone piece of atheistic logic produced, to much fanfare, just a few years earlier.
In fact, Berg's argument is so unoriginal that I don't even feel I need to be original in refuting it: Alvin Plantinga did an admirable job of that back when Dawkins first advanced this "absolutely and completely original" argument:
So why think God must be improbable? According to classical theism, God is a necessary being; it is not so much as possible that there should be no such person as God; he exists in all possible worlds. But if God is a necessary being, if he exists in all possible worlds, then the probability that he exists, of course, is 1, and the probability that he does not exist is 0. Far from its being improbable that he exists, his existence is maximally probable. So if Dawkins proposes that God's existence is improbable, he owes us an argument for the conclusion that there is no necessary being with the attributes of God—an argument that doesn't just start from the premise that materialism is true. Neither he nor anyone else has provided even a decent argument along these lines; Dawkins doesn't even seem to be aware that he needs an argument of that sort.
Question-begging aside, it's painfully clear that Berg doesn't actually know what classical theism says about God. He declares in the book's introduction that Aquinas' Five Ways "are now considered invalid, at least by most people" -- and that baseless assertion, unaccompanied by explanation or citation, is pretty much the last we ever hear of Aquinas in this book. One cannot help but walk away with the impression he hasn't actually read the Five Ways.
But let us grant, for the moment, Berg's materialist premises. Let us even go so far as to assume that God is a contingent and not a necessary being, that time precedes Him and He exists within it, and that it's a crapshoot whether or not a being worthy of the title of God will emerge from the great primordial soup of creation (my well-read readers will have to excuse the absurdity of this line of thought, if only to demonstrate that not even absurdity can produce a Godless universe). First, it's only necessary for God to be omnipotent: if He is omnipotent than He can simply will Himself into being everything else that theists claim He must be. Thus, we need not be concerned with five or six or eight probabilities but only one, the probability of an omnipotent being coming into existence. Let's call that probability p and assign it a value of .00000000001, with a corresponding probability of nonoccurrence q (= 1 - p) 0f .99999999999. And let us assume that the primordial soup could generate an omnipotent being at literally any second. There are 31,557,600 seconds (and therefore trials) in the average year; so the probability of 31,557,600 consecutive unnfavorable (Godless) outcomes is .99968447379 (= .99999999999^31,557,600). The probability of consecutive nonfavorable outcomes over the course of a thousand years is just under .73. Over two thousand years, just .53; over three thousand years, just .39; over ten thousand, .04; over fifty thousand, .002. The probability of observing an unbroken chain of consecutive nonoccurrences approaches zero as the timeline approaches infinity -- and as soon as it's broken, poof, God emerges and the Christian creation narrative continues as announced. (Granted, it would still be highly unlikely for a God figure to emerge at any given moment: the point is that, unless you have some reason for placing constraints on the timeline, there is no reason to suppose that the tiny probability of God's emergence is sufficient to preclude it from happening).
As one of Berg's reviewers at Amazon put it:
Not only is the answer wrong, but Berg seems unaware that vanishingly small probabilities are not negligible if there are an infinite number of them. (E.g., a rolling sphere always comes to rest on a single, infinitely improbably point.)
Likewise, when I go fishing, the probability that I will catch any given fish in existence is vanishingly small -- virtually nil, in fact. But the probability that I will catch a fish is considerably nearer to 1, perhaps very close to it, indeed, if the conditions are right and I have sufficient skill.
Thankfully, we don't have to rely on statistics to know that God exists -- we know it evidentially: existence itself requires such a being (this we know from the Unmoved Mover and First Cause arguments). Berg anticipates this argument, though he makes no reference to the Five Ways; instead, he cites John Locke, according to whom "this combination of qualities is necessary for the originator of the ourselves to have, without which we humans would not exist -- and we clearly do!"
Berg goes on to claim that the argument is "clearly fallacious" because "lesser things can produce greater things just as greater things can produce lesser things." (This is certainly contrary to what Dawkins claims, that the complexity of a thing cannot exceed the complexity of its originator). He provides the example that Albert Einstein was birthed of less-intelligent parents, ignoring the (obvious) counterpoint that nothing in Albert Einstein's parents were meaningfully lesser unless you suppose IQ to be deterministically genetic.
Berg compounds his error by declaring, "More fundamentally things need not necessarily be caused anyhow" (!). He provides literally no explanation for this lame, indefensible Humean bullshit. When has anyone, ever, in the history of the world, ever assumed a thing (other than the creation of the universe) has happened without cause? Even when we can't find a natural cause for something, we'll attribute it to delusion, hypnosis, magic, or simply conclude we'll never know the cause before we assume nothing caused it. Atheists routinely peddle this Humean crap when it suits them (i.e., when it can be used as a blunt object with which to bludgeon God out of existence) but are never willing to follow it through to its logical conclusion, which is a rejection of all scientific knowledge, criminal justice forensics, experiential and self-knowledge, etc.
The last really interesting thing Berg says in this chapter (which, tragically, comes about six and a half pages before its end) is
... can there be valid evidence available to us for God's qualities existing and all combining within one entity? I should think not. As finite entities we humans cannot know the absolutely infinite.
But that (like the statistical argument itself) isn't really an argument for God's nonexistence -- at best, its an argument for agnosticism. Unfortunately, Berg isn't content to leave this kind of solipsism as a chapter footnote; he later elevates something like it to the status of an argument in and of itself.
Next time, Berg's Second Way: The Man and God Comprehension Gulf Argument.
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